Skip to main content
Report

Shadow Economies

The Rise of Illicit Networks and Alternative Markets in Sanctions Circumvention

This working paper examines illicit financial flows (IFFs) in the Western Balkans and Black Sea regions, shedding light on their scale, drivers, and consequences. Covering ten countries – Albania, Montenegro, Serbia, North Mace-donia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Georgia, Moldova, Ukraine, and Armenia – the analysis combines trade data with econometric methods to estimate the magnitude, correlations, and impacts of IFFs. The paper explores in particular the dynamics of IFFs in trade with a focus on sanction evasion, strategic corruption, conflict financing, economic stability and implications for development assistance to the Global South.

This website uses cookies for functional and analytical purposes. By continuing to browse it, you consent to our use of cookies and the CSD Privacy Policy. To learn more about cookies, incl. how to disable them. View our Cookie Policy.